Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Alcaraz has slightly lower second serve points at 43.51%, compared to Fokina's 43.88%. Could this small difference impact the match outcome?
• When returning the opponent's second serve, Fokina edges out Alcaraz with a 46.19% win rate versus 42.86% for Alcaraz.
• First serve return rates are nearly identical, with Fokina at 29.26% and Alcaraz at 29.05%.
• Both players have similar breakpoint saving rates, with Alcaraz at 54.05% and Fokina at 54.42%.
• Alcaraz has a superior match win rate over the last year, at 83.54% compared to Fokina's 57.89%.
• Grass is Alcaraz's strongest surface with an 89% win rate, whereas Fokina performs best on hard courts, winning 61% of his matches.
• Alcaraz competes predominantly in Masters events with a 79.17% success rate, whereas Fokina plays mainly in Main tours, winning 58.06% of matches.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Alcaraz has won both previous matches against Fokina.
• Alcaraz won all four sets in those encounters, showing a clear edge in one-on-one matches.
• No tiebreak games have gone in Fokina's favor in their past meetings, with Alcaraz winning both tiebreaks played.
• Alcaraz has faced higher-ranked opponents on average (rank 50.38) compared to Fokina's opponents (rank 68.21) in the last 12 months.
• If the match proceeds to a deciding set, Alcaraz has a better record, winning 71% of such sets compared to Fokina's 55%.
• Breakpoint conversion shows a slight advantage for Alcaraz, who converts 32.03% of opportunities compared to Fokina's 30.96%.

Editorial Prediction (June 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming clash between Alcaraz and Fokina presents an intriguing match with contrasting strengths. While Fokina has a slight edge in returning the opponent's serve, Alcaraz has been more dominant in past head-to-head encounters.

Historically, Alcaraz has shown a significant advantage against Fokina, having won all previous matches, including in tiebreak scenarios. Additionally, Alcaraz's ability to perform well under pressure and his success rate in deciding sets give him a considerable edge.

Considering the overall performance and previous matchups, Alcaraz seems more likely to maintain his winning streak against Fokina in this encounter.